>> Federal Reserve WatchForecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months...There are virtually no economists who expect the Fed to hike the Funds Rate any time in the near future. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%
Probability of change from current policy:
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| This e-mail is an advertisement for Dan Davidson. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice, or a commitment to lend. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee of its accuracy. The material contained in the newsletter is the property of PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company and cannot be reproduced for any use without prior written consent. It is designed for real estate and other financial professionals only. It is not intended for consumer distribution. The material does not represent the opinion of PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company. © 2011 PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company. Trade/service marks are the property of PlainsCapital Corporation, PlainsCapital Bank, or their respective affiliates and/or subsidiaries. Some products may not be available in all states. This is not a commitment to lend. Restrictions apply. All rights reserved. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company (NMLS no: 13649) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of a state-chartered bank and is an exempt lender in the following states: AK, AR, CO, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IA, KS, KY, LA, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NY, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI, WY. Licensed by: AL State Banking Dept.- consumer credit lic no. MC21004; AZ Dept. of Financial Institutions- mortgage banker lic no. BK 0907334; Licensed by the Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act- lender lic no. 4130996; CT Dept. of Banking- lender lic no. ML-13649; D.C. Dept. of Insurance, Securities and Banking- dual authority lic no. MLO13649; Illinois Residential Mortgage Licensee, IL Dept of Financial and Professional Regulation, - lender lic no. MB.6760635; IN Dept. of Financial Institutions- sub lien lender lic no. 11169; ME Dept. of Professional & Financial Regulation- supervised lender lic no. SLM8285; MD Dept. of Labor, Licensing & Regulation- lender lic no. 11058; Massachusetts Division of Banking– lender & broker license nos. MC5404, MC5406, MC5414, MC5450, MC5405; MI Dept. of Labor & Economic Growth- broker/lender lic nos. FR 0010163 and SR 0012527; Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department- lender lic no. 14553-MB; NJ Dept. of Banking and Insurance-lender lic no. 0803658; NM Regulation and Licensing Dept. Financial Institutions Division- lender license no. 01890; ND Dept. of Financial Institutions- money broker lic no. MB101786; RI Division of Banking- lender lic no. 20102678LL and broker lic no. 20102677LB; TX OCCC Reg. Loan License- lic no. 7293; VT Dept. of Banking, Insurance, Securities and Health Care Administration- lender lic no. 6127 and broker lic no. 0964MB; WA Dept. of Financial Institutions-consumer lender lic no. 520-CL-49075. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company is an Equal Housing Opportunity Lender. NMLS# 10331 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Are you looking to buy a home in the future? If so, this is your resource to find out the best way to prepare for the largest purchase you're likely to ever make!
Tuesday, December 27, 2011
Inside Lending Newsletter - For the week of December 27, 2011 – Vol. 9, Issue 52cember 19, 2011 – Vol. 9, Issue 51
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
8 Things to Focus on for Facebook Marketing!
1. Don't stray from your topic.
When people "Like" you on Facebook, they expect subsequent posts to relate to you and your industry. Here's how to keep the ideas coming:
- Think why you visit a page--you're looking for tips, an answer to a question or information you don't see elsewhere
- Tie a current event to your business
- Ask your audience to post pictures, stories or questions about your industry to your wall
- Repost the best content back out as an update
- Share a humorous YouTube video that connects to your industry
Don't bury your web address on the info tab where visitors can't find it--display it in several places. The first place to feature your web address is in the "About" field of the info tab. It's in the very visible left sidebar of your Facebook page. But only the first 80 characters are displayed before a "More" link appears. So put your web address first.
3. Give them a reason to become fans.
Use a Reveal tab to offer first-time visitors a call to action. Encourage them to Like your fan page in order to receive a coupon, a free trial or special information. This is a great way to increase fan conversion rates while offering real value to becoming a fan.
4. Ask them questions.
Be sure to make the questions interesting, even entertaining. It's a great way to get your Facebook fans talking. Go for questions that need just one-word answers or are otherwise easy to respond to. Best of all are questions about the fans--people love to talk about themselves.
5. Mark your milestones.
When you reach a milestone, celebrate with your fans like you would with friends. Even if it's something small, pull your fans in and thank them.
6. Add a picture.
Put one in every Facebook status update you can. Use pictures of yourself or your customers, employees and special events. And be sure to crop them...they'll be tiny on Facebook, so zoom in! There's really no such thing as a bad picture.
7. Work the network.
Tap into your Facebook audience to get instant feedback, ideas on new products or services, insights on how to market better and which topics are trending with your audience. Be proactive!
8. Study the data.
There are currently unmined volumes of data that have been crowd sourced through Facebook and other social media. Start experimenting with data mining, data-driven analysis and intelligence now, because that's where we're going. Learn how to use data to create more intelligent, more targeted and more effective marketing campaigns.
Start using these tips to leverage the power of Facebook right away.... Enjoy a great month!
| This e-mail is an advertisement for Dan Davidson. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice, or a commitment to lend. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee of its accuracy. The material contained in the newsletter is the property of PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company and cannot be reproduced for any use without prior written consent. It is designed for real estate and other financial professionals only. It is not intended for consumer distribution. The material does not represent the opinion of PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company. © 2011 PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company. Trade/service marks are the property of PlainsCapital Corporation, PlainsCapital Bank, or their respective affiliates and/or subsidiaries. Some products may not be available in all states. This is not a commitment to lend. Restrictions apply. All rights reserved. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company (NMLS no: 13649) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of a state-chartered bank and is an exempt lender in the following states: AK, AR, CO, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IA, KS, KY, LA, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NY, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI, WY. Licensed by: AL State Banking Dept.- consumer credit lic no. MC21004; AZ Dept. of Financial Institutions- mortgage banker lic no. BK 0907334; Licensed by the Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act- lender lic no. 4130996; CT Dept. of Banking- lender lic no. ML-13649; D.C. Dept. of Insurance, Securities and Banking- dual authority lic no. MLO13649; Illinois Residential Mortgage Licensee, IL Dept of Financial and Professional Regulation, - lender lic no. MB.6760635; IN Dept. of Financial Institutions- sub lien lender lic no. 11169; ME Dept. of Professional & Financial Regulation- supervised lender lic no. SLM8285; MD Dept. of Labor, Licensing & Regulation- lender lic no. 11058; Massachusetts Division of Banking– lender & broker license nos. MC5404, MC5406, MC5414, MC5450, MC5405; MI Dept. of Labor & Economic Growth- broker/lender lic nos. FR 0010163 and SR 0012527; Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department- lender lic no. 14553-MB; NJ Dept. of Banking and Insurance-lender lic no. 0803658; NM Regulation and Licensing Dept. Financial Institutions Division- lender license no. 01890; ND Dept. of Financial Institutions- money broker lic no. MB101786; RI Division of Banking- lender lic no. 20102678LL and broker lic no. 20102677LB; TX OCCC Reg. Loan License- lic no. 7293; VT Dept. of Banking, Insurance, Securities and Health Care Administration- lender lic no. 6127 and broker lic no. 0964MB; WA Dept. of Financial Institutions-consumer lender lic no. 520-CL-49075. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company is an Equal Housing Opportunity Lender. NMLS# 10331 |
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Inside Lending Newsletter - For the week of December 19, 2011 – Vol. 9, Issue 51
>> Federal Reserve WatchForecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months...Last week, the Fed kept the Funds Rate unchanged and that's where economists expect it to stay well into the future. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%
Probability of change from current policy:
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| This e-mail is an advertisement for Dan Davidson. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice, or a commitment to lend. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee of its accuracy. The material contained in the newsletter is the property of PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company and cannot be reproduced for any use without prior written consent. It is designed for real estate and other financial professionals only. It is not intended for consumer distribution. The material does not represent the opinion of PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company. © 2011 PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company. Trade/service marks are the property of PlainsCapital Corporation, PlainsCapital Bank, or their respective affiliates and/or subsidiaries. Some products may not be available in all states. This is not a commitment to lend. Restrictions apply. All rights reserved. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company (NMLS no: 13649) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of a state-chartered bank and is an exempt lender in the following states: AK, AR, CO, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IA, KS, KY, LA, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NY, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI, WY. Licensed by: AL State Banking Dept.- consumer credit lic no. MC21004; AZ Dept. of Financial Institutions- mortgage banker lic no. BK 0907334; Licensed by the Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act- lender lic no. 4130996; CT Dept. of Banking- lender lic no. ML-13649; D.C. Dept. of Insurance, Securities and Banking- dual authority lic no. MLO13649; Illinois Residential Mortgage Licensee, IL Dept of Financial and Professional Regulation, - lender lic no. MB.6760635; IN Dept. of Financial Institutions- sub lien lender lic no. 11169; ME Dept. of Professional & Financial Regulation- supervised lender lic no. SLM8285; MD Dept. of Labor, Licensing & Regulation- lender lic no. 11058; Massachusetts Division of Banking– lender & broker license nos. MC5404, MC5406, MC5414, MC5450, MC5405; MI Dept. of Labor & Economic Growth- broker/lender lic nos. FR 0010163 and SR 0012527; Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department- lender lic no. 14553-MB; NJ Dept. of Banking and Insurance-lender lic no. 0803658; NM Regulation and Licensing Dept. Financial Institutions Division- lender license no. 01890; ND Dept. of Financial Institutions- money broker lic no. MB101786; RI Division of Banking- lender lic no. 20102678LL and broker lic no. 20102677LB; TX OCCC Reg. Loan License- lic no. 7293; VT Dept. of Banking, Insurance, Securities and Health Care Administration- lender lic no. 6127 and broker lic no. 0964MB; WA Dept. of Financial Institutions-consumer lender lic no. 520-CL-49075. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company is an Equal Housing Opportunity Lender. NMLS# 10331 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Monday, December 12, 2011
Inside Lending Newsletter - For the week of December 12, 2011 – Vol. 9, Issue 50
>> Federal Reserve WatchForecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months...This week, the Fed's last meeting of the year is not expected to result in any change in the Fed Funds Rate. Economists feel this situation will remain for some time. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%
Probability of change from current policy:
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| This e-mail is an advertisement for Dan Davidson. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice, or a commitment to lend. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee of its accuracy. The material contained in the newsletter is the property of PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company and cannot be reproduced for any use without prior written consent. It is designed for real estate and other financial professionals only. It is not intended for consumer distribution. The material does not represent the opinion of PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company. © 2011 PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company. Trade/service marks are the property of PlainsCapital Corporation, PlainsCapital Bank, or their respective affiliates and/or subsidiaries. Some products may not be available in all states. This is not a commitment to lend. Restrictions apply. All rights reserved. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company (NMLS no: 13649) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of a state-chartered bank and is an exempt lender in the following states: AK, AR, CO, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IA, KS, KY, LA, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NY, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI, WY. Licensed by: AL State Banking Dept.- consumer credit lic no. MC21004; AZ Dept. of Financial Institutions- mortgage banker lic no. BK 0907334; Licensed by the Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act- lender lic no. 4130996; CT Dept. of Banking- lender lic no. ML-13649; D.C. Dept. of Insurance, Securities and Banking- dual authority lic no. MLO13649; Illinois Residential Mortgage Licensee, IL Dept of Financial and Professional Regulation, - lender lic no. MB.6760635; IN Dept. of Financial Institutions- sub lien lender lic no. 11169; ME Dept. of Professional & Financial Regulation- supervised lender lic no. SLM8285; MD Dept. of Labor, Licensing & Regulation- lender lic no. 11058; Massachusetts Division of Banking– lender & broker license nos. MC5404, MC5406, MC5414, MC5450, MC5405; MI Dept. of Labor & Economic Growth- broker/lender lic nos. FR 0010163 and SR 0012527; Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department- lender lic no. 14553-MB; NJ Dept. of Banking and Insurance-lender lic no. 0803658; NM Regulation and Licensing Dept. Financial Institutions Division- lender license no. 01890; ND Dept. of Financial Institutions- money broker lic no. MB101786; RI Division of Banking- lender lic no. 20102678LL and broker lic no. 20102677LB; TX OCCC Reg. Loan License- lic no. 7293; VT Dept. of Banking, Insurance, Securities and Health Care Administration- lender lic no. 6127 and broker lic no. 0964MB; WA Dept. of Financial Institutions-consumer lender lic no. 520-CL-49075. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company is an Equal Housing Opportunity Lender. NMLS# 10331 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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12 things to put on your Holiday Checklist PLUS...Year-end financial to-do list
The Holidays are upon us. Here's how to stay well organized, so you can enjoy them the most.
1. Do your online shopping first. Order gifts on the internet now, to allow time for shipping, returns and getting them wrapped.
2. Wrap after purchase. This keeps little ones from seeing what Santa has--and saves you that last minute pile-up of unwrapped gifts.
3. How are you fixed for glasses? The holidays often feature bigger entertaining. Make sure you have enough glassware and dishes for parties and meals.
4. Put the tree up and decorate. Getting it done by the coming weekend leaves your free to focus on your other holiday tasks.
5. Do your holiday meal menus. Decide what you'll be cooking and what others will bring, make up a master grocery list and order the turkey, ham or other centerpiece dish.
6. Do your nonperishable shopping. Get in all canned goods, pantry staples and bottled beverages.
7. Clean the house. Keeping the house neat makes decorations stand out. And clean out the refrigerator to make room for those bigger big holiday dishes.
8. Got kids? Get batteries! Make sure you have them on hand in all the right sizes.
9. Shop for your fresh foods. Get these ingredients two or three days before you'll need them.
10. Set the table ahead of time. That way you can concentrate on the food prep the day of the feast.
11. Don't forget fresh flowers. Get them two days before to give blooms time to open up.
12. Charge camera and video batteries. Charge spare batteries too, if you have them.
Now you're ready to relax and enjoy family and friends!
YOUR END-OF-THE-YEAR FINANCIAL CHECK-UPS
Now is the right time to take a look at a few financial matters:
1. Review health and dental care choices. Many employers allow you to make changes to your benefit plans now. Check with doctors and dentists to make sure they're still in your plan's preferred provider network and that your family has adequate coverage.
2. Review use-or-lose accounts. Pretax Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs) are set up this way. Review your plan to see if you have some spending to do, or if your employer offers a grace period. Even then, make sure 2011 expenses are still allowed in 2012.
3. Review your withholding. Check the withholding calculator at the IRS website. If you haven't been withholding enough to cover your taxes, you might want to increase the amount on this year's remaining paychecks. Under-withholding can result in penalties.
4. Get ready for 2011 taxes. Check last year's returns to see who needs to send you what tax documents, and by when. Make a list and follow up if anyone holds you up at the beginning of the year. Also, check last year's return for itemized deductions. See if you should make deductible purchases now or wait until 2012.
Note: Be sure to consult with a tax professional before making any decisions related to your tax situation.
5. Set your 2012 financial goals. Now is the time to write down what you'd like to achieve financially next year. Save money for a down payment on a new house? Start a college fund for your kids? Put more into your retirement fund?
Remember, we're always here to answer any questions.... Have a great day!
PS With today's extremely low mortgage rates and home prices more affordable than ever, many people are upsizing, downsizing or refinancing. Please call or email us now to discuss your situation.
| This was sent to you because of your relationship with Dan Davidson. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice or a commitment to lend. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee of its accuracy. The material contained in the newsletter is the property of PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company and cannot be reproduced for any use without prior written consent. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company is an Equal Housing Lender. © 2011 PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company. Trade/service marks are the property of PlainsCapital Corporation, PlainsCapital Bank, or their respective affiliates and/or subsidiaries. Some products may not be available in all states. This is not a commitment to lend. Restrictions apply. All rights reserved. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company (NMLS no: 13649) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of a state-chartered bank and is an exempt lender in the following states: AK, AR, CO, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IA, KS, KY, LA, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NY, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI, WY. Licensed by: AL State Banking Dept.- consumer credit lic no. MC21004; AZ Dept. of Financial Institutions- mortgage banker lic no. BK 0907334; Licensed by the Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act- lender lic no. 4130996; CT Dept. of Banking- lender lic no. ML-13649; D.C. Dept. of Insurance, Securities and Banking- dual authority lic no. MLO13649; Illinois Residential Mortgage Licensee, IL Dept of Financial and Professional Regulation, - lender lic no. MB.6760635; IN Dept. of Financial Institutions- sub lien lender lic no. 11169; ME Dept. of Professional & Financial Regulation- supervised lender lic no. SLM8285; MD Dept. of Labor, Licensing & Regulation- lender lic no. 11058; Massachusetts Division of Banking– lender & broker license nos. MC5404, MC5406, MC5414, MC5450, MC5405; MI Dept. of Labor & Economic Growth- broker/lender lic nos. FR 0010163 and SR 0012527; Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department- lender lic no. 14553-MB; NJ Dept. of Banking and Insurance-lender lic no. 0803658; NM Regulation and Licensing Dept. Financial Institutions Division- lender license no. 01890; ND Dept. of Financial Institutions- money broker lic no. MB101786; RI Division of Banking- lender lic no. 20102678LL and broker lic no. 20102677LB; TX OCCC Reg. Loan License- lic no. 7293; VT Dept. of Banking, Insurance, Securities and Health Care Administration- lender lic no. 6127 and broker lic no. 0964MB; WA Dept. of Financial Institutions-consumer lender lic no. 520-CL-49075. PrimeLending, A PlainsCapital Company is an Equal Housing Opportunity Lender. NMLS# 10331 |
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Monday, December 5, 2011
Inside Lending Newsletter - For the week of December 5, 2011 – Vol. 9, Issue 49
>> Market UpdateQUOTE OF THE WEEK..."Motivation is the art of getting people to do what you want them to do because they want to do it."--Dwight D. EisenhowerINFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE...Enough people were motivated to buy new homes in October to push monthly sales up 1.3% to a 307,000 annual rate. Even better, the motivation was strong enough to send the median price to $212,300, UP 4% over a year ago. Going forward, what should motivate everyone is that the supply of new homes fell to 6.3 months. Nonetheless, new home sales need to get to an annual rate around 950,000 and some observers say that will take another few years. Housing market pessimists had to be really disappointed by October's Pending Home Sales. This measure of signed contracts for existing home sales that have not yet closed was UP 10.4% for the month and is 9.2% higher than it was a year ago. This bodes well for existing home sales a few months out. Additional home price data went in opposite directions. The Case-Shiller home price index in the 20 largest metros was down 0.6% in September, but the FHFA index registered a 0.9% price increase for homes financed with conforming mortgages. BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK...A great thought this time of year: give generously without expecting anything in return--it will pay off in the long run. >> Review of Last WeekYO-YO MARKETS...That's how one chief investment officer described what's been happening on Wall Street. The worst ever Thanksgiving week for stocks was followed by the S&P 500's biggest weekly gain since March 2009, the Dow's largest weekly gain since July 2009 and a seriously strong upturn for the Nasdaq. The bulls got back in control starting with some reassuring news for Europe. The Fed and five other central banks agreed to lower the cost of borrowing dollars for foreign banks. This doesn't solve fiscal problems for the Europeans, but it does keep the money flowing to buy them more time.Decent economic data kept the bulls on their charge. In addition to the housing news, sales for the first full weekend of holiday shopping were UP 16.4% over last year according to the National Retail Federation. ComScore reported Black Friday online sales were up 26% from last year. Then Friday's November Employment Report showed 120,000 new jobs, plus revisions to October and November added another 72,000 payrolls. The unemployment rate dropped to 8.6%, but this was due to a decrease in the labor force of 315,000. There was also concern over the 0.1% drop in average hourly earnings. For the week, the Dow ended UP 7%, at 12019; the S&P 500 went UP 7.4%, to 1244; and the Nasdaq was UP 7.6%, to 2627. Stocks were surging, so bonds should have tanked if things had gone by the book. But these days, not many things financial follow a predictable course. Bond performance was actually mixed, which turned out well for the FNMA 3.5% bond we watch. It ended the week up .86, to $102.06. According to Freddie Mac's weekly survey, national average mortgage rates remained at or near record lows for the fifth week in a row. DID YOU KNOW?... The Trade Balance reported this week is the country's exports, minus imports. It is the largest component of our balance of payments. >> This Week’s ForecastLIGHT ON THE NEWS... This week won't have much in the way of economic data, but it's good to keep a watch on ISM Services, as that sector provides the vast majority of our jobs. This index is expected to be up a bit for November and still expanding. The Trade Balance is forecast to show a slightly higher deficit for October, while University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment should also stay near previous levels.>> The Week’s Economic Indicator CalendarWeaker than expected economic data tends to send bond prices up and interest rates down, while positive data points to lower bond prices and rising loan rates. |
| Date | Time (ET) | Release | For | Consensus | Prior | Impact |
| M Dec 5 | 10:00 | ISM Services | Nov | 53.4 | 52.9 | Moderate |
| W Dec 7 | 10:30 | Crude Inventories | 12/3 | NA | 3.932M | Moderate |
| Th Dec 8 | 08:30 | Initial Unemployment Claims | 12/3 | 395K | 402K | Moderate |
| Th Dec 8 | 08:30 | Continuing Unemployment Claims | 11/26 | 3.700M | 3.740M | Moderate |
| F Dec 9 | 08:30 | Trade Balance | Oct | -$44.0B | -$43.1B | Moderate |
| F Dec 9 | 09:55 | Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment | Dec | 65.0 | 64.1 | Moderate |
>> Federal Reserve Watch
Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months...Economists see no change coming in the Fed Funds Rate well into next year. Of course, inflation will have to be watched. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%
| After FOMC meeting on: | Consensus |
| Dec 13 | 0%–0.25% |
| Jan 25 | 0%–0.25% |
| Mar 13 | 0%–0.25% |
Probability of change from current policy:
| After FOMC meeting on: | Consensus |
| Dec 13 | <1% |
| Jan 25 | <1% |
| Mar 13 | <1% |
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